Ravens ‘will win the division by three games at least’

Upon further review, the Ravens are as good as any team in the NFL going through Week 10

ESPN Seth Walder analyzes divided all 32 teams into photo-playoff tiers, from Tier 1 (“True Super Bowl contenders”) to Tier 7 (“Rest through 2023”).

The Ravens were placed in Level 2 (“Playoff Locks”) along with the Minnesota Vikings and Dallas Cowboys giving them a 97.4 percent chance of making the playoffs. Still, a strong case can be made for Baltimore joining the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, and Philadelphia Eagles in the top tier—especially after seeing how Week 10 plays out for the latter two teams.

Defensive Outsiders Football Value Over Average (DVOA), Breaking down all NFL play, the Ravens rank as the third-best team overall, trailing only the Bills and Eagles. DVOA compares a team’s performance to the league’s baseline based on the situation to determine the value over the average. The Ravens are ranked No. 3 in DVOA offensively, No. 13 in defense, and No. 1 on special teams.

But let’s put the metrics aside for a moment and take a look at the Ravens’ lineup up to this point in the season and how it compares to the teams considered to be the best in the NFL.

They are the only team in the league to have a double-digit lead per game this season. Only eight other teams in NFL history have accomplished this feat.

The Ravens haven’t been playing the cupcakes either, because so far only two of their opponents have had losing records. According to Football Outsiders, the Ravens have played the third toughest schedule. They have wins over three teams that would be in the playoffs if the season ended today (New York Jets, New England Patriots, Tampa Bay Buccaneers) as well as the defending champion Cincinnati Bengals.

Baltimore’s three losses — to the Miami Dolphins (7-3), Bills (6-3), and New York Giants (7-2) — were by a combined 11 points.

“Would they like to have another shot in their fourth quarter against the Miami Dolphins, Buffalo Bills and New York Giants? Of course. They could be 8-1 with their lead in the conference and domination of the AFC North.” Childs-Walker Books Baltimore Sun. But they’ve made progress in their division – bolstered by the Bengals’ 0-3 record against AFC North rivals – without facing a single opponent. Their roster has grown with recent additions in defense and will only grow stronger. With returns expected from [tight end Mark] Andrews, linebackers Gus Edwards and JK Dobbins, and safety Marcus Williams, meanwhile, their schedule will languish: sixth-easiest in the league ever, according to Football Outsiders.”

Last night, the previously undefeated Eagles lost at home to the Washington Commanders who entered the competition with a 4-5 record. On Sunday, the Bills lost their second straight game to lose 0-2 in the AFC East and the sixth seed in the conference. Preseason MVP Josh Allen has one touchdown pass, four interceptions and a fumble in his previous two games and six interceptions in his last three.

The Chiefs are playing well, but their resume this season includes a loss to the Indianapolis Colts (4-5-1) and a come-from-behind one-point win at home over the Las Vegas Raiders (2-7).

This doesn’t take anything away from the Eagles, Bills, Chiefs, or any other team, and there’s still plenty of football to play. At this point, however, the evidence suggests that the Ravens are in as good shape as anyone in the NFL, and as Walker mentioned, they will recover a number of key players from injury in the near future.

“This adds up to a compelling portrait of a team that seemed bewildered by its self-destructive nature in the wake of its 24-20 loss to the Giants on Oct. 16,” Walker wrote. If the Ravens are trolling the rest of their schedule, does that mean they’re ready to take down the Bills or the Kansas City Chiefs with a Super Bowl trip on the line? 1 was getting back to the point where they could ask themselves these questions, and crows are on their way.”

Russell Street Report, Tony Lombardy Wrote: “Just take care of business, one game at a time, keep improving and growing as a team, play the best football in December and January, and that’s the ultimate prize can be had for the Ravens – focus on one game at a time.”

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