The Giants are opening up with John Pribbia on what will be a worrisome day, but are their relief arms good enough to justify their support against Wade Miley and the Cubs? Our MLB betting picks and predictions say no.
The Sunday Night baseball team heads to Windy City for the 21st anniversary of 9/11.
Both teams have struggled this season. the visit San Francisco Giants (66-73) is 10.5 games in third and last for Wild Card in the National League, so the playoffs feel like a long shot.
The Chicago Cubs (58-81) They are only 3-7 in their last 10 games.
Verify MLB picks and predictions San Francisco Giants and Chicago Caps on Sunday, September 11th.
Giants vs Cubs Best Odds
Giants vs Cubs picks and predictions
This one is lined up close to the game, with the cubs listed between -105 and -110 depending on the book. The prop market is a bit limited given the starting positions – the Giants face the Bullpen, while Miley is making his second start since spending nearly three months on the injured roster. Therefore, I look to the home team for my best bet rather than attacking the prop or total market.
Expected to be a windy day in Chicago, it didn’t surprise anyone. The forecast calls for 18 mph winds blowing over the right field in the first pitch time. Weather has a huge impact on games at Wrigley Stadium, and wind will likely play a big role on Sunday night. I don’t give a lot of credence to winds helping both sides tonight considering there’s a 100% chance of rain, so there’s always a chance of a delay.
The Giants hit left-handers well, ranking 12th in both wOBA and wRC+ on the season. These numbers may not seem like much, but they are a huge improvement over their numbers against the right-handers (19 in wOBA and 20 in wRC+). They have barely been an offensive force this season, but facing a left-handed player with the wind blowing into the right field could remedy some of those offensive problems.
Here’s why these concerns are downplayed. Although these numbers look good for the entire season, they are mostly buoyed by early season performance. She hasn’t been fatal against the Southpaws recently, ranking 19th in wOBA and 20th in wRC+ in September. They are only 4-12 in their last 16 road games versus left-handed players.
It’s going to be an important game for the Giants, and that’s a bit worrying for them given how poorly they’ve been feeling this season. As a team, they have the ninth worst ERA in relief this season (4.24) while posting a gruesome 1.38 WHIP.
The Giants are only 7-20 in their last 27 road games and I expect them to drop another game Sunday night.
best betCubs moneyline (-105 at WynnBET)
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Giants vs Cubs betting preview
money line analysis
Neither team has been anything special this season. The Giants are 5-5 in their last 10 matches and have all lost from the Wild Card race except for a miraculous season-ending. It’s fair to ask where this team motivated to end a very disappointing season after winning 107 games a year ago. This was a sharp decline.
The Cubs are only 3-7 in their last 10 games and have a -103 lead difference – much worse than the Giants, who are at +4 in a year. San Fran had success in Chicago, going 4-1 in his last five Wrigley encounters. In the last nine confrontations overall, the Giants have been 7-2.
As noted above, I’m not too interested in these trends as this is a cubs-friendly spot at home for a Sunday Night Baseball game. Miley was effective when she was healthy and had a 3.40 xERA and 3.55 FIP. The Giants were once a frightening group against the Southern Paws, but they have fallen back hard as the season has progressed.
The Cubs took Match 1 with a score of 4-2, beating Carlos Rodon. Yesterday saw Logan Webb throw a gem in a 5-2 win for the Giants. Sunday night’s game will be the defining streak of this series and I think the Cubs have the advantage if Miley continues to play well.
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Over / Under Analysis
The Giants Bullpen is nothing special, racking up 4.24 ERA and 1.38 WHIP per season. This is not a well-equipped team to play Bullpen, as it would be in this game.
Miley has made four starts this season, and the Cubs have surpassed the total in three of those games. With the wind blowing into the right field, this probably doesn’t help the giants as much as one would expect given that it would blow into the field opposite the right bat.
Cubs’ lineup is nothing to write home about, ranking 21st in wOBA and 23rd in wRC+ in the month of September.
Both teams headed towards the Under, going 4-0 in every one of their last four games. The Under is 19-7-2 in the last 28 games at Cubs Stadium against a team with a losing record. As for the Giants, they are 18-6-3 against the Under in their last 27 games having scored five or more runs in their previous game.
Although the wind will blow into the right field, it is also worth noting that there is a 100% chance of rain in this competition and delays are possible.
Giants vs Cubs game info
• Site: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
• DateSunday 11 September 2022
• 1st stadium: 8:08 p.m. Eastern time
• Television: ESPN
John Pribia (6-1, 2.93 ERA): Brebbia serves as the opener after throwing an eight goalless run last night. He’s played 65 games this season and 61 of them came as a savior, totaling 2.93 ERA and 3.50 xERA. Expect the Giants to roll the bulls’ arms at this one without declaring a clear start.
Wade Miley (1-0, 3.13 ERA): The veteran left-back has made just five appearances this season – it all started. He was instrumental when on the hill, and allowed no more than three winning runs in each of his starts. The Cubs have dealt with injuries and absences all season, so it was a welcome sight when Miley returned on Tuesday after missing the injured list for nearly three months.
Find our latest MLB . injury reports.
Be sure to monitor Gametime conditions with MLB . weather information.
Betting direction to know
The Giants are 4-12 in their last 16 road matches against a left-handed player. find more MLB betting trends For giants vs cubs